BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Thornburg Tri-County

Class: 8 Class Rank: 17 Conference: (5-0) Overall: (11-1) Overall Strength =   77.85

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 08/28/2009 Home    W    63.90  32    2    8   45 ( 3- 6) Springville           -12.21 *   42.21  nd                  
  2 09/04/2009 Away    W    81.56  70    6    8   54 ( 0- 9) Miles East Central      5.45 *   58.55  nd                  
  3 09/11/2009 Away    W    77.28  49   22    8   40 ( 3- 6) Lamoni                  1.17     25.83  nd                  
  4 09/18/2009 Away    W *  56.48  71   16    8   59 ( 0- 9) Seymour               -19.63 *   74.63                      
  5 09/25/2009 Home    W *  86.57  88   44    8   36 ( 4- 6) Melcher-Dallas         10.46 *   33.54                      
  6 10/02/2009 Away    W    80.49  42    8    8   39 ( 2- 7) Ventura                 4.38     29.62  nd                  
  7 10/09/2009 Home    W *  83.61  70    0    8   53 ( 2- 7) Bussey Twin Cedars      7.50 *   62.50                      
  8 10/16/2009 Away    W *  71.65  52   28    8   37 ( 5- 5) Farmington Harmony     -4.46     28.46                      
  9 10/23/2009 Away    W *  74.10  45    6    8   49 ( 3- 7) Moravia                -2.01 *   41.01                      
 10 10/28/2009 Home    W    75.31  21   10    8   22 ( 5- 5) Afton East Union       -0.80     11.80                      
 11 11/02/2009 Home    W    95.62  64   43    8   18 ( 9- 2) Ankeny Christian       19.51      1.49                      
 12 11/06/2009 Away    L    66.74  20   43    8    3 (13- 1) Lenox                  -9.37    -13.63                      
      Averages              76.11  52.0 19.0

Best game:   95.62 = 21 point win over Ankeny Christian
Worst game:  56.48 = 55 point win over Seymour
Team stdev:  10.63